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The Rio Reset and the End of Dollar Privilege
If you’ve ever seen one of my appearances on Steve Bannon’s War Room, you might’ve guessed I was not born in America. In some ways, that’s been a challenge (I’ve learned to never ask for biscuits, for example). In some other ways, my background gives me a perspective that many Americans lack. Over the last 80 years, we’ve benefited from the dollar’s status as the global reserve currency. This "exorbitant privilege," as economists call it, means that our government and our families have been able to borrow cheaply – for mortgages and big-screen TVs, or for disaster relief and defense spending. We’ve been benefiting from the dollar’s dominance in the global financial system without being forced to make tough choices. That exorbitant privilege is worth a lot – as much as $800 billion a year. That’s a lot of money – the equivalent of the annual GDP of Poland (or two Denmarks). And this represents money that we can spend without having earned. The dollar’s global reserve currency status makes this possible. The U.S. is virtually the only nation able to sell government debt globally, to finance virtually limitless deficit spending. (Only German Bunds and, to a lesser extent, Swiss bonds are treated as true safe-haven assets by global investors. But no other nation has the size, liquidity, or reach of the U.S. Treasury market.) I hope you understand now why this "exorbitant privilege" is vital – and, by extension, why BRICS are determined to challenge it. How America misused its advantage Throughout history, global reserve currencies have lasted, on average, about 100 years. That's because the economic pressures that create global reserve currencies contain the seeds of their own destruction. The dollar’s role as global reserve currency means the U.S. must supply the world with dollars – and the easiest way to do that is by issuing debt. Between nations, currency isn’t just money; it’s a store of value and a claim on future goods and services. In effect, every Treasury bond the U.S. sells is a promise to repay in dollars, reinforcing the dollar’s central role in global trade. Over the decades, we've abused that privilege:
In the U.S. unconstrained spending (especially in response to financial crises, like the mid-2000s Great Financial Crisis and the more recent pandemic panic) lead to inflation – a loss of purchasing power. Outside the U.S. those who own dollars experience currency devaluation instead – their dollars buy less, just like ours do. You know how unbelievably frustrating inflation is. Now imagine how much more infuriating it is for other nations, those who must use dollars to buy and sell on international markets, to watch their purchasing power dwindle. For decades, the rest of the world has simply tolerated this situation. They didn't like it, of course. That's no secret. For example, Liu Pengyu, a spokesman for the Chinese Embassy in the U.S., commented:
Or Dmitry Peskov, a Kremlin spokesperson, who said in December:
But other nations had no leverage, and, crucially, no alternative to the dollar-based global financial system. The Rio Reset means that is no longer the case. The Rio Reset: The world moves on The reason there was no alternative to the U.S. dollar-based financial system is pretty simple. The U.S. doesn't just control the dollars – the U.S. controls the financial infrastructure itself (sometimes called "pipes" or "the plumbing") that powers international trade. BRICS nations are no longer just complaining. For the last ten years, they've been quietly building an alternative global financial system. One that runs on 21st century mainframes, incorporates blockchain technology – and, most importantly – doesn't rely on Western infrastructure to function. The BRICS have built their own parallel global financial network. Like an iceberg, the visible portions represent only a tiny fragment of the massive time, effort and money spent to develop them. Today, BRICS have their own version of the World Bank. Of the Fed's central bank liquidity swap lines. Of the SWIFT inter-bank messaging protocol. Central bank digital currencies for international transactions, and settlement-in-commodities contracts let them address trade imbalances with payments in crude oil or gold. It's important to note these are not theoretical constructs. Every single item on the list above already exists. They've all been tested and used in the real world. The Rio Reset is the moment BRICS will take their project public. The "grand opening" of their new, global financial network. From that moment, America’s "exorbitant privilege" is officially under assault. “It’s too late: the changes are coming” On April 28, Ray Dalio (founder of the world’s most successful hedge fund) made an alarming post on LinkedIn: ![]() It's worth reading, but here are the highlights:
Make no mistake – the consequences go beyond embassies and corporate boardrooms. The global shift away from the dollar means:
Those are just the immediate consequences. Longer-term, I’m concerned we’ll see a permanent decline in living standards. Worse still, we’ll be citizens of a weaker nation – financially and politically sidelined. We can’t fix this ourselves – all we can do is ensure our families and our financial futures are sheltered from the fallout. Life without the exorbitant privilegeIn my mind, there are four vital things each of us can do right now:
I don’t mean to frighten you – I do want you to take this very, very seriously. As the dollar’s privilege erodes, individual action becomes more important. I believe that, by preparing ourselves and our families to weather the storms ahead, we’re each contributing our little bit to a stronger, more resilient nation. In Dalio’s words, it’s time to stop thinking and, instead, “deal with these big fundamental changes in the world order calmly, intelligently, and, ideally, cooperatively.” Remember, America’s strength was never just military or political or even monetary. America’s strength comes from its citizens. From each and every one of us, working together for our own prosperity – we created the world’s most successful nation. That’s something to be proud of! We can’t change the Rio Reset any more than we can change the course of history. But we don’t have to just sit on the sidelines and watch it happen! We can get a head-start today and lay the groundwork for our own financial stability.
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