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The Commercial Real Estate Tsunami Just Shifted Into Another Gear What is going to happen to our banking system as trillions of dollars worth of commercial real estate loans go bad? Many months ago, I warned that the greatest commercial real estate crisis in U.S. history was coming. At the time, a lot of people didn’t believe me and that was fine. As with so many other things, all I needed to do to be proven right was to wait. Sadly, a commercial real estate tsunami is now here, and it appears to be accelerating even faster than many of the experts had been anticipating. Just within the past few weeks, there have been several more high profile defaults, and San Francisco has become the epicenter of this crisis. On Monday, we learned that Westfield has decided to purposely default on a 558 million dollar loan on the San Francisco Centre mall…
Do you remember in 2008 when millions of Americans that were underwater on their mortgages simply walked away from them? Well, now the same thing is happening, except that instead of homes we are talking about shopping malls and office buildings. The San Francisco Centre mall was the most important retail destination in downtown San Francisco. But sales have been declining for some time, and just like Park Hotels & Resorts, Westfield is identifying rapidly deteriorating conditions in the downtown area as one of the primary reasons for leaving the city…
San Francisco was once such a beautiful city. But now one of the wealthiest cities in the entire world is being systematically transformed into a hellhole, and it is all thanks to the “progressive” policies of the city’s leaders…
Even Twitter has decided to walk away. The company has not been paying rent on “Twitter headquarters” for months, and Elon Musk has confirmed that there is no plan to ever restart payments…
Sadly, this is only just the beginning. As retailers and businesses leave the downtown areas of our major cities, a lot more defaults will inevitably happen. In New York City, the office occupancy rate was close to 100 percent before the pandemic. Now it is hovering around 50 percent. Of course this commercial real estate tsunami is not the only crisis that we are facing. The residential real estate bubble has also started to burst, and sales have been falling all over the nation for months. Higher interest rates will continue to put downward pressure on home prices, and many analysts are extremely concerned that foreclosure filings have begun to surge…
Meanwhile, large companies all over America continue to conduct mass layoffs. As I discussed in a previous article, the number of announced job cuts in the United States during the first five months of this year was 315 percent higher than the number of announced job cuts during the same period last year. And we are being told that the number of media industry layoffs so far this year is the largest figure ever recorded…
Despite everything that I just shared with you, many of the “experts” in the mainstream media continue to insist that the economy is in fine shape. I honestly do not know how they can say that with a straight face. But they are saying it. Just like in 2008, they simply do not want to believe what is happening right in front of their eyes, and they aren’t interested in ominous warnings about our long-term future either. In the short-term, our economic problems are going to continue to intensify in the months ahead. In the long-term, we are going to have a real nightmare on our hands. But for now, millions upon millions of Americans continue to trust those that are telling them that brighter days are ahead, and so they are doing nothing to prepare for the great storm that is rapidly approaching. Michael’s new book entitled “End Times” is now available in paperback and for the Kindle on Amazon.com, and you can check out his new Substack newsletter right here.
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