Von Greyerz & Piepenburg: Golden Answers to War,
BTC and 2024 Risk Levels
Egon von Greyerz and Matt Piepenburg

In this first discussion of a longer series focusing on key risk themes nearing a 2024 breaking point, Matterhorn Asset Management principals, Egon von Greyerz and Matthew Piepenburg, open with a blunt discussion on the critical (as well as controversial) topics of geopolitics, escalating war signals and the key differences between gold and BTC in a global setting of open currency destruction.

Beginning with the topic of war, Egon and Matthew discuss a daisy chain of expensive and ultimately unsuccessful wars with DC origins but global ramifications. Of course, the rising tensions within the middle east form a part of this narrative, one which includes an ongoing (and still unresolved) war in the Ukraine and now headlines of further NATO expansion into Sweden and Finland.

Neither Egon nor Matthew offers easy solutions or predictions for such volatile issues. However, what can be easily foreseen is the simple and historically-confirmed relationship between escalating wars and hence escalating costs, debt levels and hence currency debasement to monetize the same. This relationship between war, inflation, and currency destruction, which even Hemingway foresaw, is anything but fictional and points yet again to the absolute necessity of protecting against such currency risk with real money, namely: Physical gold.

Of course, many crypto investors see BTC as an equally convincing form of “digital gold” to one day emerge as a viable store of value to protect against similar risks. Neither Egon nor Matthew ridicule crypto as an asset nor the investors who trade them. One can be a tenacious proponent of physical gold without having to cast dispersions at BTC, which has been a superlative speculation trade (and risk) for countless investors.

That, however, is precisely how both Egon and Matthew distinguish gold from BTC: With Gold being an undeniably (and historically-confirmed) store of value and hence wealth preservation asset; and BTC being an equally undeniable speculation asset. Egon and Matt track the price moves, for example, in BTC and compare its volatility to gold to make this conclusion objective rather than sensational. Matt, moreover, defends BTC against recent headlines, like SBF’s corruption or Binance’s multi-billion-dollar legal judgements, which are not blockchain failures but human failures. Toward that end, Matt addresses the equally “human” risks which Larry Fink’s Blackrock poses to the BTC narrative.

Although cryptos like BTC have adopted the same narrative as gold to highlight the themes of being an  alternative currency outside of an openly failing global banking and fiat monetary system, the more popular (and frankly, actual) use/role of BTC has been as an astonishing speculation asset. The fact, moreover, that numerous crypto millionaires have approached Matterhorn to convert their speculative BTC into wealth-preserving gold adds anecdotal evidence to this conviction. The additional fact that central banks are stacking gold rather than BTC at historical levels suggests that when serious concerns over currency stability are the key drivers, gold is the obvious choice.

Of course, speculation and preservation are each important aspects of wealth, but Egon and Matt remind that gold preserves generational wealth with far greater effect and far less risk.

In the coming weeks, Egon and Matt will address other key risk themes (oil, currencies, BRICs etc.) as we enter a very important 2024.

 

Egon von Greyerz – Founder and Managing Partner of Matterhorn Asset Management (MAM) and GoldSwitzerland based in Zurich. Egon forecasted the present problems in the world economy already in 2002 when he recommended to investors to allocate 50% of assets into physical gold (at $300) stored outside the banking system. Egon began as a banker in Geneva and was thereafter Finance Director and Vice-Chairman of a FTSE 100 company in the UK.  He makes regular media appearances  on CNBC, BBC and King World News and speaks at investment conferences around the world. MAM (founded in 1999), specialises in wealth preservation. GoldSwitzerland buys, sells, transfers and stores physical precious metals for private investors and institutions outside the banking system. His website is www.goldswitzerland.com. 

Matthew Piepenburg, Commercial Director at Matterhorn Asset Management and co-founder of SignalsMatter.com, has extensive experience in alternative investments, law, and finance, with particular expertise in managed futures, credit and equity investing. He also has years of experience researching, evaluating and investing in alternative investments: hedge funds, private equity vehicles, VC and real estate. Matthew Piepenburg's skills include asset allocation, portfolio management and macro economic analysis. He has written numerous white papers on the long-term distortions of central bank policies here and abroad. He has guest lectured at numerous family office forums, law firms and universities, including Georgetown, Brown, Harvard and Cal State. Matthew Piepenburg is also a published author and regular contributor to The Good Men Project and the author of the Amazon No1 New Release “Rigged to Fail,” which bluntly details the systemic and structural flaws behind central-bank distorted capital markets. 

All of these combined monetary distortions are directly responsible for the staggering level of currency debasement ignored in plain sight by a majority of policy makers and investors, which is why Matthew is committed to informing of, as well as addressing solutions to, these systemic fault-lines in the global system. Toward this end, all rivers flow toward precious metals as currency insurance (hence Matterhorn role in Zurich) as well as sober yet actively managed portfolio construction (hence the SignalsMatter service). 

 

 

GoldSwitzerland.com